BIG MARLEY’S UFC FIGHT NIGHT 133 DRAFT KINGS FANTASY BREAKDOWN
This week, we have a 13-fight card in Boise, Idaho. It is headlined by Junior Dos Santos vs Blagoy Ivanov, who is making his UFC debut. DraftKings has smaller contests for this card since it is just a Fight Night card with lesser known name, but there is still well over $100k to be obtained. I will be chasing my fair share of the money and that I hope you guys will be too. Listed below are a couple plays I enjoy this weekend along with my fade of the week.
Cash Game play of this week — Alexander Volkanovski ($9,200)
I think Volkanovski is the”safest” drama on this card along with his -300 betting line would concur with me. That is where I’ll be starting my lineup this week and I’ll figure the rest out from there. Volkanovski averages 116.5 DK points during his first four UFC fights so he has a ton of upside as well. He could potential score more than two other winners on this card combined. I really do think he’s in drama for GPPs too for that reason, but he will probably be the most peculiar owned fighter on the card and we do not care about possession as much in cash games. I’d suggest paying up for the expensive cost in your cash games and then search for three or more others wins you are confident in.
GPP play of this week — Junior Dos Santos ($8,700)
JDS ought to be the way better striker inside this struggle and I think this is where the fight will occur. He can get KO’d in the opening seconds of this battle and score 0 points, but this is what makes him a GPP drama in lieu of a money game play. With both of these Heavyweights, we need to likely find a KO within the 25-minues and that I feel the former champion, JDS, will be the one to receive it. He has good takedown defense so he ought to be able to keep this battle on the toes where he’ll have a 4-inch achieve advantage to use.
Underdog drama of this week — Niko Price ($7,900)
Niko is going to be my underdog play of this week. The chances indicate that the fight should be rather close and there’s a good possibility he utilizes his wrestling to gain the benefit. In 5 fights he has not seen a decision yet, and there is a possibility it remains that way if he receives Brown to the floor. Niko has some slick entrances in his arsenal and a lot of heart. On the feet, Brown probably has the advantage with his achieve, but Price does have any sneaky power also, which can’t be overlooked. Overall, I enjoy this as a GPP play.
Fade of the week — Alejandro Perez ($9,100)
Perez is the 2nd most expensive fighter on this card and he’s just $100 less expensive than Volkanovski. In my opinion, Perez will require a finish to really have a shot at paying that expensive salary and that I do not want to invest in that, personally. He has never landed greater than one takedown at a fight and Wineland has excellent takedown defense, so we should see this battle occur on the feet. I believe Perez should be the one to receive his hand raised in the conclusion but I think that it’s going to be via conclusion. If that is the case then he can score ~60 points in a win, and at $9.1k that is not likely to win anyone a tournament. I will be complete fading Perez this week and hoping he doesn’t get the finish and he’s my official fade of the week.
If you’d like my full-card DraftKings breakdown using investigation on each fight, my private approaches & suggestions, and my selection outlook for every fight then it is possible to discover that beneath the Premium Picks tab on MMAoddsbreaker if you click on Upcoming Picks. Or you can just go to this link below:
https://mmaoddsbreaker.com/mmaob-premium/upcoming-picks
Read more: nesaranetwork.info